Portland Timbers II vs El Farolito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LAF
4 - 0
POR
12%
15%
72%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
HOU
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
4 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
El Farolito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
OSC
0 - 3
EFS
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
EFS
2 - 3
CRR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
EFS
1 - 0
NAV
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
DAV
2 - 4
EFS
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EFS
3 - 1
SON
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |