Portland vs Gonzaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LML
0 - 1
PPT
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PPT
5 - 1
SDT
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
PPT
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PPT
1 - 3
SMG
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SFD
0 - 0
PPT
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gonzaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SFD
2 - 3
GBD
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GBD
1 - 2
LML
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SDT
2 - 3
GBD
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GBD
1 - 2
SDT
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SCB
2 - 0
GBD
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |