Portimonense vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
SLB
1 - 1
POR
92%
6%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
POR
2 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
ESP
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 0
VST
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 0
VST
55%
24%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |