Portimonense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
POR
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AVE
1 - 1
POR
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
SPC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FAT
0 - 1
POR
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAT
41%
29%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 1
TRO
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |