Portimonense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
POR
4 - 3
NAV
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
RIO
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
GON
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GFC
0 - 0
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
VIT
6 - 0
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
VAR
0 - 4
LEX
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
VIZ
1 - 3
VAR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 0
VAR
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 1
EST
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
FEI
2 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |