Portimonense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
BOA
3 - 0
POR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
POR
0 - 4
VIT
37%
30%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
BEL
4 - 2
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
POR
1 - 2
SLB
20%
26%
53%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
49%
27%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
VAR
2 - 0
VST
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
SPC
1 - 0
VAR
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
19%
29%
52%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
67%
20%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |