Portimonense vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 0
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
LEX
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
AVE
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BMA
1 - 0
BRA
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
PEN
32%
29%
38%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
TRO
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |