Portimonense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 2
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
AVE
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 3
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
AVE
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
SPC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 3
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |