Portimonense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
EST
1 - 0
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
VAR
34%
28%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FEI
2 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
VIZ
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LEX
0 - 0
POR
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VIZ
0 - 0
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
OLH
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GON
2 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 2
VIT
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |