Portimonense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
BOA
1 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
POR
3 - 1
SCP
18%
27%
56%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
EST
1 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
POR
3 - 0
VST
49%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIT
34%
33%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
FAF
0 - 0
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
PEN
1 - 2
BOA
28%
33%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
SCP
4 - 1
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |