Portimonense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
FAR
0 - 0
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
POR
1 - 1
SPB
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
RDA
2 - 1
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
POR
2 - 0
EST
62%
24%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 2
SCP
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIT
33%
30%
38%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAL
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
BOA
4 - 0
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |