Portimonense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
VST
1 - 0
POR
61%
25%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ACV
3 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
POR
5 - 1
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
SCP
1 - 0
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
POR
0 - 1
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
19%
23%
57%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
VST
0 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 1
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |