Portimonense vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 2
POR
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
AVE
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 4
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 2
PEN
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LEC
2 - 2
OVA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 1
FCM
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
RIO
2 - 0
OVA
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
UNM
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |