Portimonense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 4
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
POR
1 - 2
FAR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
EST
3 - 2
POR
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
MAI
5 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAV
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAV
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 1
FCM
62%
20%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
NAV
6 - 1
RIO
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |