Portimonense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
POR
2 - 0
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 2
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
POR
1 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
OLI
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
OVA
1 - 1
NAV
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
2 - 0
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
NAV
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
NAV
5 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |