Portimonense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
POR
1 - 0
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
BMA
2 - 0
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
POR
3 - 0
LEX
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
FCP
1 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
ESP
4 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
NAC
3 - 4
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
BOA
0 - 2
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
0 - 1
SCP
24%
23%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |