Portimonense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
EST
3 - 2
POR
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
MAI
5 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
POR
3 - 0
FEL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
UNM
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
FAR
2 - 1
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
FCM
1 - 1
FAR
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
FAR
0 - 1
RIO
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
OVA
3 - 1
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |