Portimonense vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
POR
7 - 2
CAL
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
OLI
4 - 3
POR
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
POR
3 - 1
OVA
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
1 - 2
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
POR
2 - 2
NAV
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
EST
2 - 0
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 2
EST
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
EST
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
OVA
3 - 1
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |