Portimonense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 0
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
POR
3 - 3
VST
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
RIO
2 - 1
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
FCM
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
OVA
1 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 1
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 0
AVE
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
SAL
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
FEL
1 - 1
AVE
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |