Portimonense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAV
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 4
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
POR
1 - 2
FAR
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 2
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
AVE
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
FCM
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
RIO
3 - 0
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 1
OVA
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |