Portimonense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
FCP
4 - 0
POR
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
SCP
4 - 2
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 2
PEN
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 2
AVE
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 1
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
SPC
2 - 0
AVE
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 0
VST
47%
27%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |