Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-7
Portimonense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
57.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
POR
1 - 6
SCP
19%
18%
64%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
POR
3 - 0
SPB
51%
20%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
VIT
5 - 0
POR
53%
20%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 2
SLB
27%
22%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
SLB
1 - 5
MUD
68%
16%
16%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
SLB
2 - 0
LEX
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 7
SLB
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
SLB
5 - 0
BMA
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |