Primeira Playoffs Final
Global 2-4
Portimonense vs AVS Futebol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+186%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 3
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
RIO
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
POR
80%
14%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
MOR
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 2
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 1
TON
32%
28%
39%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEX
0 - 0
AVE
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
AVE
3 - 3
MAF
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
PAÇ
0 - 4
AVE
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 2
POR
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |