Portimonense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
POR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
36%
27%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
4 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARO
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
ARO
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 2
BOA
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ARO
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |