Portimonense vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 3
POR
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
GON
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
OLH
2 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
OVA
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
MAI
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LEX
2 - 0
ALV
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 1
FCM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 1
ALV
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALV
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |