Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
8º
6º
17
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
POR
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
67%
17%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
FAR
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 2
MAF
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 1
RIO
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
GIL
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +4 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
VIZ
2 - 1
RIO
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |