Portici vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 0
POR
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
POR
4 - 4
ACI
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
CCI
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
NOC
18%
24%
58%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
GEL
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
GEL
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 1
ISO
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PPI
1 - 3
GEL
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
EBO
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |