Portici vs Lamezia Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
63.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
POR
4 - 0
AUR
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
VIS
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
POM
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARZ
3 - 0
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lamezia Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 1
LAT
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LAT
2 - 2
CSA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 1
LAT
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
LAT
11%
16%
74%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LAT
1 - 3
LOC
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |