Portici vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 3
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
GEL
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOC
4 - 1
POR
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
USC
45%
22%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 3
BAR
10%
25%
65%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCI
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCI
3 - 0
MES
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
FCI
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
FCI
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -3 |