Portici vs San Luca analysis

Portici San Luca
34 ELO 35
-3.5% Tilt -15.3%
7815º General ELO ranking 7669º
257º Country ELO ranking 247º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Portici
23.3%
Draw
41.3%
San Luca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
Portici
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.3%
Win probability
San Luca
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portici
-11%
+1%
San Luca

Points and table prediction

Portici
Their league position
San Luca
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
17º
15º
29
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trapani
94
98
100%
Siracusa
81
85
100%
US Vibonese Calcio
72
75
88%
Reggina
65
69
76%
Lamezia Terme
19º
0
59
36.5%
Acireale
54
57
50.5%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
52
55
36.5%
Real Casalnuovo
51
54
39%
Ragusa
50
53
35%
Canicattì
48
51
10º
48%
Igea Virtus
10º
45
46
11º
62.5%
Licata
11º
43
44
12º
51%
Akragas
12º
42
43
13º
65.5%
Sancataldese
13º
37
38
14º
95%
Portici
14º
32
33
15º
74.5%
San Luca
15º
29
31
16º
68%
Locri 1909
16º
28
29
17º
90.5%
Castrovillari
17º
18
20
18º
100%
Nuova Gioiese
18º
9
10
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Portici
San Luca
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
2% 0.5%
Relegation play-offs
98% 90.5%
Relegation
0% 9%

ELO progression

Portici
San Luca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portici
Portici
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
POR
Portici
0 - 1
Acireale
ACI
33%
24%
43%
32 40 8 0
31 Jan. 2024
REG
Reggina
2 - 2
Portici
POR
84%
13%
3%
32 68 36 0
28 Jan. 2024
POR
Portici
1 - 3
Igea Virtus
FCI
65%
19%
16%
33 26 7 -1
21 Jan. 2024
SAN
Sancataldese
2 - 0
Portici
POR
54%
23%
23%
35 38 3 -2
17 Jan. 2024
POR
Portici
1 - 3
Locri 1909
LOC
48%
22%
31%
36 36 0 -1

Matches

San Luca
San Luca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
LUC
San Luca
1 - 0
Siracusa
SIR
10%
19%
71%
34 54 20 0
28 Jan. 2024
LUC
San Luca
1 - 1
Acireale
ACI
28%
27%
44%
34 41 7 0
21 Jan. 2024
REG
Reggina
1 - 1
San Luca
LUC
83%
13%
4%
33 69 36 +1
17 Jan. 2024
LUC
San Luca
3 - 0
Igea Virtus
FCI
59%
22%
19%
33 27 6 0
14 Jan. 2024
SAN
Sancataldese
2 - 2
San Luca
LUC
56%
22%
22%
33 39 6 0
X