Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town analysis

Porthmadog Ruthin Town
27 ELO 39
3% Tilt 9.8%
8797º General ELO ranking 5420º
47º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
31%
Porthmadog
23.7%
Draw
45.3%
Ruthin Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Porthmadog
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.3%
Win probability
Ruthin Town
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Porthmadog
-59%
+30%
Ruthin Town

Points and table prediction

Porthmadog
Their league position
Ruthin Town
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
11º
48
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Colwyn Bay
82
85
100%
Holywell
77
77
100%
Llandudno FC
65
65
100%
Guilsfield FC
54
57
100%
Ruthin Town
48
51
100%
Prestatyn Town
43
46
50%
Cefn Druids AFC
43
43
50%
Buckley Town
42
42
100%
Gresford Athletic
10º
32
35
0%
Mold Alexandra
35
35
10º
0%
Porthmadog
11º
30
31
11º
49%
Llanidloes Town FC
12º
27
28
12º
63.5%
Chirk AAA
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Conwy Borough FC
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Holyhead Hotspur
15º
16
16
15º
68%
Penrhyncoch FC
16º
16
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Porthmadog
Ruthin Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Porthmadog
Ruthin Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porthmadog
Porthmadog
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2023
HOL
Holyhead Hotspur
1 - 2
Porthmadog
POR
40%
23%
37%
28 27 1 0
14 Jan. 2023
POR
Porthmadog
0 - 1
Mold Alexandra
MOL
46%
22%
32%
29 30 1 -1
06 Jan. 2023
POR
Porthmadog
0 - 2
Llandudno FC
LLA
15%
21%
65%
31 47 16 -2
02 Jan. 2023
HOL
Holywell
4 - 0
Porthmadog
POR
82%
12%
5%
31 49 18 0
27 Dec. 2022
POR
Porthmadog
3 - 1
Conwy Borough FC
CON
61%
19%
20%
31 25 6 0

Matches

Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
RTW
Ruthin Town
1 - 1
Llandudno FC
LLA
26%
23%
51%
38 48 10 0
07 Jan. 2023
AAA
Chirk AAA
1 - 2
Ruthin Town
RTW
27%
22%
51%
37 27 10 +1
02 Jan. 2023
RTW
Ruthin Town
3 - 1
Prestatyn Town
PRE
40%
21%
39%
36 37 1 +1
27 Dec. 2022
RTW
Ruthin Town
1 - 6
Colwyn Bay
COL
18%
21%
62%
37 50 13 -1
17 Dec. 2022
HOL
Holyhead Hotspur
1 - 2
Ruthin Town
RTW
32%
24%
44%
36 29 7 +1
X