Porthmadog vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
POR
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
LLA
23%
21%
57%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 1
POR
81%
11%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
LLA
67%
18%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 1
GRE
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 2
GRE
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 3
CPD
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 1
GRE
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |