Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 2
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 1
POR
94%
5%
1%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
GFC
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +4 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 3
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
POR
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
6 - 5
BUC
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CPC
2 - 4
DEN
7%
11%
82%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 0
AIR
29%
23%
49%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 1
DEN
24%
20%
56%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 5
HOL
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |