Porthmadog vs Cardiff Airport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
FLI
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 1
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PRE
37%
21%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
POR
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
5 - 1
POR
55%
19%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff Airport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAA
70%
18%
13%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAA
3 - 1
CEA
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 2
TRE
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |