Portalban / Gletterens vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portalban / Gletterens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
BUM
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LER
2 - 1
POR
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
FCS
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 3
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
BAV
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
TPA
52%
23%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 4
BER
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BER
5 - 2
BAU
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BUM
0 - 0
BER
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BER
2 - 3
LER
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |