Portadown vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GLE
0 - 3
POR
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
ARD
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 4
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
OMA
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
POR
3 - 1
LAR
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FBK
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
FKE
4 - 0
ZAL
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
ZAL
4 - 2
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
ZAL
35%
25%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
ZAL
0 - 0
VET
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |