Portadown vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
12º
12º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
48%
22%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
LAR
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LAR
17%
25%
59%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
24%
23%
52%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
4 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |