Portadown vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 1
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
COL
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
LCE
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 1
LOU
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 3
LCE
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LCE
1 - 0
KNO
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 1
BAN
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |