Portadown vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 2
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
POR
11 - 0
BAL
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 3
LIS
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 0
DON
63%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
COA
1 - 3
LIS
38%
23%
39%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KNO
2 - 2
LIS
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 2
LIS
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |