Portadown vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
POR
2 - 4
SLA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
SLA
6 - 0
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
SHK
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
SHK
0 - 0
POR
50%
23%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 3
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 3
LIS
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 0
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 3
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIS
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |