Portadown vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CLI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 4
LIN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
4 - 1
LIS
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
27%
22%
51%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |