Portadown vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 0
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
GLE
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 0
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 4
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 3
GLE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 4
GLE
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -2 |