Portadown vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.3%
72.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
12º
12º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 0
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
48%
22%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 0
AUN
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
18%
25%
58%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 4
LAR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |