Portadown vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
72.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 3
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 2
POR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 3
LAR
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PSN
3 - 2
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
35%
25%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 2
CLI
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 1
WAR
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |