Portadown vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
69.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
12º
12º
73
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
POR
5 - 0
ARC
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CLI
11%
22%
67%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
GLE
10%
22%
68%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
COL
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
5 - 1
LIS
86%
11%
4%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
3 - 0
BAL
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 2
LAR
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 0
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |