Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DER
2 - 3
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
KNO
6 - 1
POR
28%
22%
50%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
LOU
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
COL
3 - 0
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
KNO
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 0
INS
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
INS
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |