Portadown vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
GLE
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DON
0 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DER
0 - 3
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |