Portadown vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
LIN
37%
23%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 2
POR
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
POR
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
POR
14%
21%
66%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
GLE
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 1
ARC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |