Portadown vs FBK Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LAR
2 - 1
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
INS
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
GLE
5 - 1
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
POR
4 - 0
GLE
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 3
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2006 |
FBK
2 - 0
FAS
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
FBK
0 - 1
FKE
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2006 |
FBK
2 - 1
ZAL
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
FBK
35%
26%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
FBK
3 - 0
FAS
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |