Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
GLE
46%
24%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
6 - 1
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
1 - 1
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 5
POR
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 3
GLE
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
DON
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
DUN
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 3
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |